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Paul Schaeffer's avatar

In evaluating Troy's proposal, I looked not simply whether Troy has the legal authority to do this, but whether comparable policies have actually accomplished what communities hoped they would accomplish, and at what cost.

First, Troy is definitely not breaking new ground. It is a widespread policy model. Troy has a substantial universe of communities from which it could learn.

Do these ordinances reduce homelessness? A 2025 Policy Studies Journal study result was essentially no. If the objective is to reduce the number of people experiencing homelessness the empirical evidence presently provides little support for camping/sleeping prohibitions as an effective intervention by themselves.

Do they improve public spaces? Local, not universally. Bottom line, they move and disburse and show up elsewhere in new ways.

What about crime and public safety? A Denver study examined crime surrounding involuntary encampment displacement from 2019 through 2023. Their conclusion was that displacement was not consistently associated with overall crime reduction.

And there are tertiary effects. Studies of displacement have identified several potential consequences: loss of medications, identification, phones and belongings; disruption of social networks; increased distance from health and social services; and reduced continuity of treatment. A new 2026 longitudinal study following 731 unhoused people in Los Angeles County found that police encounters and encampment sweeps were associated with worse physical health and greater psychological distress. Repeated exposure was associated with poorer outcomes over time, and displacement appeared to explain part of the relationship.

I think the questions surrounding this ordinance break into four separate questions, and they produce different answers:

Does prohibiting public camping reduce homelessness? Little evidence that it does. Comparative research finds no statistically significant long-term reduction attributable to criminalization ordinances.

Can it remove particular encampments/public-space problems? Yes. Enforcement can clear specific locations, although repeated clearing and relocation are common.

Does it improve public safety? Possibly very locally and temporarily for some offenses, but evidence of broader crime reduction is weak/mixed.

Can enforcement create secondary costs? Yes. Research identifies displacement, service disruption, health consequences and potential barriers to eventually obtaining housing.

And that leads to a somewhat different question and perhaps the most useful question for Troy City Council, What outcome does Troy expect this ordinance to produce, and how will the city determine afterward whether it actually produced that outcome?

That could be measured. Before adopting the ordinance, Troy could establish a baseline and then track, for example, police contacts, warnings, shelter offers, shelter acceptances, citations, repeat contacts with the same individuals, complaints, encampment recurrence, calls for service, arrests, EMS encounters, shelter availability, and the number of people actually transitioning to temporary or permanent housing.

Without those measures, six months from now one side can say "the ordinance is working because we don't see people sleeping downtown" while the other says "it accomplished nothing because they're still homeless."

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